Crop Progress ISSN: 1948-3007 Released November 19, 2012, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Cotton Harvested - Selected States [These 15 States harvested 98% of the 2011 cotton acreage] ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Week ending : :-----------------------------------------: State :November 18, :November 11, :November 18, : 2007-2011 : 2011 : 2012 : 2012 : Average ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : percent : Alabama ........: 78 74 90 81 Arizona ........: 59 50 55 64 Arkansas .......: 99 99 99 95 California .....: 88 87 95 87 Georgia ........: 77 62 73 70 Kansas .........: 68 66 78 46 Louisiana ......: 100 100 100 98 Mississippi ....: 100 97 99 97 Missouri .......: 95 89 95 94 North Carolina .: 84 61 78 83 Oklahoma .......: 63 74 79 57 South Carolina .: 82 63 73 81 Tennessee ......: 98 92 98 93 Texas ..........: 81 71 80 65 Virginia .......: 89 72 90 84 : 15 States ......: 85 75 84 77 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Sorghum Harvested - Selected States [These 11 States harvested 98% of the 2011 sorghum acreage] ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Week ending : :-----------------------------------------: State :November 18, :November 11, :November 18, : 2007-2011 : 2011 : 2012 : 2012 : Average ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : percent : Arkansas .......: 100 100 100 100 Colorado .......: 81 80 91 83 Illinois .......: 85 99 100 90 Kansas .........: 93 89 96 86 Louisiana ......: 100 100 100 100 Missouri .......: 95 92 96 90 Nebraska .......: 96 99 100 83 New Mexico .....: 51 63 77 72 Oklahoma .......: 73 95 98 77 South Dakota ...: 99 100 100 92 Texas ..........: 88 85 91 87 : 11 States ......: 91 89 95 87 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Sunflowers Harvested - Selected States [These 4 States harvested 87% of the 2011 sunflower acreage] ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Week ending : :-----------------------------------------: State :November 18, :November 11, :November 18, : 2007-2011 : 2011 : 2012 : 2012 : Average ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : percent : Colorado .......: 83 88 94 87 Kansas .........: 90 83 93 83 North Dakota ...: 99 91 96 89 South Dakota ...: 98 100 100 83 : 4 States .......: 96 93 97 86 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Winter Wheat Emerged - Selected States [These 18 States planted 88% of the 2011 winter wheat acreage] ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Week ending : :-----------------------------------------: State :November 18, :November 11, :November 18, : 2007-2011 : 2011 : 2012 : 2012 : Average ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : percent : Arkansas .......: 77 66 84 67 California .....: 49 20 35 36 Colorado .......: 99 90 91 97 Idaho ..........: 97 88 95 95 Illinois .......: 93 81 87 87 Indiana ........: 93 86 93 87 Kansas .........: 95 92 95 91 Michigan .......: 94 91 98 96 Missouri .......: 80 69 80 71 Montana ........: 88 63 66 94 Nebraska .......: 100 91 92 100 North Carolina .: 42 23 30 39 Ohio ...........: 75 77 90 90 Oklahoma .......: 91 82 86 88 Oregon .........: 80 76 80 80 South Dakota ...: 100 43 53 99 Texas ..........: 61 74 79 72 Washington .....: 93 90 93 91 : 18 States ......: 86 79 84 86 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Winter Wheat Condition - Selected States: Week Ending November 18, 2012 [National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2011 planted acreage] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Very poor : Poor : Fair : Good : Excellent ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- : percent : Arkansas .......: - 2 24 60 14 California .....: - - 10 35 55 Colorado .......: 7 33 41 18 1 Idaho ..........: - 2 28 55 15 Illinois .......: 1 3 24 70 2 Indiana ........: - 2 28 60 10 Kansas .........: 6 18 46 29 1 Michigan .......: - 1 22 62 15 Missouri .......: - 2 39 51 8 Montana ........: 3 7 67 21 2 Nebraska .......: 13 27 43 17 - North Carolina .: - 1 26 71 2 Ohio ...........: - 1 26 58 15 Oklahoma .......: 10 34 43 12 1 Oregon .........: - - 61 37 2 South Dakota ...: 12 48 36 4 - Texas ..........: 5 20 45 26 4 Washington .....: - 3 40 50 7 : 18 States ......: 5 19 42 30 4 : Previous week ..: 5 17 42 32 4 Previous year ..: 6 10 34 43 7 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Represents zero. Crop Progress and Condition Tables Expected Next Week Cotton: Harvested Winter Wheat: Emerged, Condition Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: Crop progress and condition estimates are based on survey data collected each week from early April through the end of November. The non-probability crop progress and condition surveys include input from approximately 4,000 respondents whose occupations provide them opportunities to make visual observations and frequently bring them in contact with farmers in their counties. Based on standard definitions, these respondents subjectively estimate the progress of crops through various stages of development, as well as the progress of producer activities. They also provide subjective evaluations of crop conditions. Most respondents complete their questionnaires on Friday or early Monday morning and submit them to the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) Field Offices in their States by mail, telephone, fax, e-mail, or through a secured internet website. A small number of reports are completed on Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday. Regardless of when questionnaires are completed, respondents are asked to report for the entire week ending on Sunday. For reports submitted prior to the Sunday reference date, a degree of uncertainty is introduced by projections for weekend changes in progress and condition. By the end of the 2011 season, over 90 percent of the data were being submitted through the internet website. As a result, the majority of all data are submitted on Monday morning, significantly reducing projection uncertainty. Respondents are sent written reporting instructions at the beginning of each season and are contacted periodically to ensure proper reporting. Terms and definitions of crop stages and condition categories used as reporting guidelines are available on the NASS website at www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/National_Crop_Progress. Estimating Procedures: Reported data are reviewed for reasonableness and consistency by comparing with data reported the previous week and data reported in surrounding counties for the current week. Each State Field Office summarizes the reported data to district and State levels, weighting each county's reported data by NASS county acreage estimates. Summarized indications are compared with previous week estimates, and progress items are compared with earlier stages of development and historical averages to ensure reasonableness. Weather events and respondent comments are also taken into consideration. State estimates are submitted to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB) along with supporting comments, where they are compared with surrounding States and compiled into a National level summary by weighting each State by its acreage estimates. Revision Policy: Progress and condition estimates in the Crop Progress report are released after 4:00 pm ET on the first business day of the week. These estimates are subject to revision the following week. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch........................... (202) 720-2127 Jacqueline Moore, Head, Field Crops Section................ (202) 720-2127 Brent Chittenden - Oats, Rye, Wheat................... (202) 720-8068 Steve Maliszewski - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings, Sorghum.. (202) 720-5944 Jacqueline Moore - Peanuts, Rice...................... (202) 720-2127 Anthony Prillaman - Corn, Flaxseed, Proso Millet...... (202) 720-9526 Julie Schmidt - Crop Weather, Barley, Hay............. (202) 720-7621 Travis Thorson - Soybeans, Sunflower, Other Oilseeds.. (202) 720-7369 Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways: All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: http://www.nass.usda.gov Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e- mail subscription. To set-up this free subscription, visit http://www.nass.usda.gov and in the "Follow NASS" box under "Receive reports by Email," click on "National" or "State" to select the reports you would like to receive. For more information on NASS surveys and reports, call the NASS Agricultural Statistics Hotline at (800) 727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: nass@nass.usda.gov. 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