AGRICULTURAL OUTLOOK FORUM '97 Release No. 0049.97 AGRICULTURAL OUTLOOK FORUM '97 Preliminary Program, Subject to Change Confirmed Speakers As Of: February 13, 1997 MONDAY, FEBRUARY 24, 1997 10:00 REGISTRATION OPENS 1:00 WELCOME Richard Rominger, Deputy Secretary of Agriculture 1:05-1:30 KEYNOTE ADDRESS Dan Glickman, Secretary of Agriculture 1:30-2:00 U.S. AGRICULTURAL OUTLOOK Keith Collins, Chief Economist, USDA 2:00-3:00 COPING WITH FUTURE CHANGES Moderator: Catherine E. Woteki, Acting Under Secretary for Research, Education, and Economics, USDA What's Ahead for Agriculture? Michael Martin, Dean, College of Agricultural, Food, and Environmental Sciences, University of Minnesota Environmental Policies Affecting Agriculture Thomas R. Hebert, Deputy Under Secretary for Natural Resources and Environment, USDA 3:00-3:30 BREAK Concurrent Sessions 3:30-5:15 RISK MANAGEMENT FOR U.S. AGRICULTURE Moderator: Bob H. Robinson, Administrator, Cooperative State Research, Education, and Extension Service, USDA Alternatives for Risk Management Joy Harwood, Chief, Crops Branch, Economic Research Service, USDA New Agricultural Risk Management Insurance Tools Kenneth D. Ackerman, Administrator, Risk Management Agency, USDA New Risk Tools Related To Futures Markets Joseph B. Dial, Commissioner, Commodity Futures Trading Commission Risk Management from a Producer's Point of View Jack Kintzle, Corn and Soybean Producer, Coggon, Iowa 3:30-5:15 MARKET STABILITY AND WORLD FOOD SECURITY Moderator: Susan Offutt, Administrator, Economic Research Service, USDA Food Needs for the Twenty-First Century Alex McCalla, Director, Natural Resources Department, The World Bank Market Instability from the Food Importers' Perspective David Blandford, Head of the Quantitative Analysis and Special Studies Division; Directorate for Food, Agriculture and Fisheries; Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development The Role of Research in the Outlook for World Food Per Pinstrup-Andersen, Director General, International Food Policy Research Institute Food Security, a USDA Perspective Christopher E. Goldthwait, General Sales Manager, USDA 5:15-6:15 CASH BAR 6:15-8:00 FORUM DINNER The Outlook for the U.S. Economy Joseph E. Stiglitz, Chairman, Council of Economic Advisers TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 25, 1997 7:15-4:30 REGISTRATION 7:30-8:00 CONTINENTAL BREAKFAST Concurrent Sessions 8:00-9:30 USDA'S DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL PROJECTIONS TO 2005 Moderator: Gerald A. Bange, Chairperson, World Agricultural Outlook Board, USDA USDA's International Projections to 2005 Maurice R. Landes, International Baseline Coordinator, Economic Research Service, USDA USDA's Domestic Projections to 2005 Katherine R. Smith, Director, Commercial Agriculture Division, Economic Research Service, USDA Panel of Discussants David B. Hull, Agriculture Analyst, Congressional Budget Office Robert Young, Co-director, Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute Brian Paddock, Director, Policy Analysis Division, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada 8:00-9:30 NEW CROP PRODUCTION TECHNOLOGIES Moderator: Paul Drazek, Special Assistant to the Secretary of Agriculture The Approval Process for Genetically Modified Products John Payne, Director, Biotechnology and Scientific Services, Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service, USDA Utility Patent and Agricultural Biotechnology Richard M. Parry, Jr., Assistant Administrator for Technology Transfer, Agricultural Research Service, USDA Issues of Public and Consumer Acceptance Donna Porter, Specialist in Life Sciences, Congressional Research Service, Library of Congress A Farmer's Experience with Precision Farming Gary Wagner, Sunflower Producer, Climax, Minnesota 9:30-9:50 BREAK Concurrent Sessions 9:50-10:50 GRAINS AND OILSEEDS FORUM Moderator: Nancy Devore, International Trade Analyst, Bellingham Commodity Trade Analysis Grain and Soybean Outlook through 1997/98 Peter A. Riley, Grains Analyst, Economic Research Service, USDA An Alternative Perspective on the Grain and Soybean Outlook Bradley C. Anderson, Feed Grains Analyst, Sparks Companies, Inc. A Producer's Perspective on Changing Farm Programs Alan Karkosh, Hudson, Iowa, Corn and Soybean Producer 9:50-10:50 DAIRY FORUM Moderator: Charles Shaw, Senior Economist and Director of Policy Development, International Dairy Foods Association USDA's Dairy Outlook James J. Miller, Agricultural Economist, Economic Research Service, USDA Market Implications of Changes in Dairy Cooperatives Albert J. Ortego Jr., Leader, Economics and Natural Resources Division, Louisiana State University Extension Service 9:50-10:50 TOBACCO FORUM Moderator: Thomas Capehart, Jr., Agricultural Economist, Economic Research Service, USDA The U.S. Tobacco Outlook Thomas Capehart, Jr., Agricultural Economist, Economic Research Service, USDA The Foreign Tobacco Outlook Peter Burr, Agricultural Economist, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA Growers' Perspective on the U.S. Tobacco Outlook Danny McKinney, Chief Executive Officer, Burley Stabilization Corporation Litigation and the U.S. Tobacco Industry Keith Teel, Partner, Covington and Burling 9:50-10:50 FRUIT AND VEGETABLES FORUM The Outlook for Fruit and Vegetables Edmond Missiaen, Specialty Crops Analyst, World Agricultural Outlook Board, USDA 10:50-11:00 BREAK Concurrent Sessions 11:00-12:00 LIVESTOCK AND POULTRY FORUM Moderator: Nancy Yannish, Director of Agricultural Relations, The Food Marketing Institute USDA's Livestock and Poultry Outlook James Nix, Livestock Analyst, World Agricultural Outlook Board, USDA Are Consumers Getting What They Want? Kevin Bost, Commodities Analyst, Topco Associates, Inc. 11:00-12:00 COTTON FORUM Moderator: O. A. Cleveland, Marketing Specialist, Mississippi State University The Outlook for Cotton Leslie A. Meyer, Agricultural Economist, Economic Research Service; Carol J. Skelly, Agricultural Economist, Farm Service Agency; and Anita Regmi, Agricultural Economist, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA Exporting Cotton in an Uncertain Market Allen A. Terhaar, Executive Director, Cotton Council International Producing Cotton in the New Policy Environment Robert E. McLendon, Cotton Producer, Leary, Georgia 11:00-12:00 THE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX FOR FOOD Moderator: Charles Abbott, Commodity Correspondent, Reuter News Service The Outlook for Food Prices in 1997 and Beyond Annette L. Clauson, Agricultural Economist, Economic Research Service, USDA Analyzing Seven Forecast Components of the Food CPI Mark Denbaly, Agricultural Economist, Economic Research Service, USDA The Consumer Price Index Overstates Food-Price Inflation James M. MacDonald, Agricultural Economist, Economic Research Service, USDA 11:00-12:00 SWEETENERS FORUM Moderator: Edmond Missiaen, Specialty Crops Analyst, World Agricultural Outlook Board, USDA Sugar and Sweeteners Outlook, 1997 to 2003 Robert D. Barry, Agricultural Economist, Farm Service Agency, USDA 12:00-12:30 CASH BAR 12:30-1:50 LUNCHEONS Grains and Oilseeds Luncheon Moderator: August Schumacher, Administrator, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA The Choices Facing the European Community in the Light of Progress Towards More Open Markets David F. Roberts, Deputy Director General for External and Budgetary Affairs, Agriculture Directorate, European Commission Livestock and Poultry Luncheon Moderator: Nancy Yannish, Director of Agricultural Relations, The Food Marketing Institute Fast Food Supply Chain Management George Hoffman, President and CEO, Restaurant Services, Inc. Cotton Luncheon Moderator: Russell G. Barlowe, Retired Fibers Analyst, World Agricultural Outlook Board, USDA The World Series, Lunar Eclipses, the Super Bowl, and Cotton Prices Herman S. Kohlmeyer, Jr., Senior Vice President-Investments, Prudential Securities. Inc. Concurrent Sessions 2:00-3:15 MEETING GLOBAL COMPETITION FOR HIGH-VALUED PRODUCTS Moderator: August Schumacher, Administrator, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA Representative Calvin M. Dooley, 17th District of California Harry Cleberg, President and CEO, Farmland Industries, Inc. Export Challenges for the Red Meat Industry as We Enter the New Millennium Phillip M. Seng, President and CEO, U.S. Meat Export Federation 2:00-3:15 THE IMPACT OF AGRICULTURE'S CHANGING STRUCTURE ON MARKET INFORMATION NEEDS Moderator: Barbara Claffey, Assistant Deputy Administrator, Marketing Programs, Agricultural Marketing Service, USDA The Role of Market Information in a Changing Market Structure Wayne D. Purcell, Director, Research Institute on Livestock Pricing, Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University Concentration Issues for Livestock Producers John D. Hardin, Danville, Indiana, Grain and Pork Producer and member of the USDA Advisory Commission on Agricultural Concentration Farmers' Information Needs in an Integrated Marketplace Ian Sheldon, Associate Professor, Department of Agricultural Economics, The Ohio State University 3:15-3:30 BREAK Concurrent Sessions 3:30-4:30 OVERCOMING CHALLENGES IN HIGH-VALUED PRODUCT MARKETS Moderator: August Schumacher, Administrator, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA Value Added Agricultural Products Richard Lighthart, Associate Director of Export Services, Griffith Laboratories Competitiveness of U.S. Agriculture in International Markets Ray Cesca, Director of Global Purchasing, McDonald's Corporation Overcoming Challenges in the High-Value Markets with a Focus on the Product Joanna Savvides, Export Services Manager, Campbell Soup Company 3:30-4:30 FARM FINANCE FORUM Moderator: Ralph M.Chite, Specialist in Agricultural Policy, Congressional Research Service, Library of Congress Changing Agricultural Lending Institutions and Markets: The Farm Credit Outlook Charles Dodson and Steve Koenig, Agricultural Economists, Economic Research Service, USDA Farm Finances and Financial Management: The Outlook in a Changing Environment Janet Perry, Mitch Morehart, Jim Ryan, John Jinkins and Jim Johnson, Agricultural Economists, Economic Research Service, USDA 4:30 ADJOURN # NOTE: USDA news releases and media advisories are available on the Internet. 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