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Office of the Chief Economist
United States Department of Agriculture

Agricultural Outlook Forum, The Changing Face of Agriculture, February 20-21, 2014, Crystal Gateway Marriott Hotel, Arlington, Virginia

COMMODITY OUTLOOKS

GRAINS and OILSEEDS OUTLOOK Paper

Moderator: Gopinath Munisamy, Director, Market and Trade Economics Division, Economic Research Service, USDA, Washington, DC

USDA Grains & Oilseeds Outlook
Mark Ash, Economic Research Service, USDA, Washington, DC
Presentation

Grain Stocks Estimates: Can Anything Explain the Market Surprises of Recent Years?
Scott H. Irwin, Laurence J. Norton Chair of Agricultural Marketsing, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL
Presentation

 

LIVESTOCK and POULTRY OUTLOOK Paper

Moderator: James Hodges, Interim President and CEO, American Meat Institute
Washington, DC

USDA Livestock & Poultry Outlook for 2014
Shayle Shagam, Livestock & Poultry Analyst and ICEC Chair, Office of the Chief Economist, USDA  
Washington, DC
Presentation

Size Matters!  The Economics of Carcass Weights
John S. Nalivka, President / Owner, Sterling Marketing, Inc. 
Vale, Oregon
Presentation  

Impact of Porcine Epidemic Diarrhea Virus (PEDV) on the U.S. Pork Industry 
Liz Wagstrom, Chief Veterinarian, National Pork Producers Council       
Washington, DC
Presentation

 

COTTON OUTLOOK Paper

Moderator: Jim Langley, Senior Analyst, Congressional Budget Office, Washington, DC

USDA’s Cotton Outlook for 2014/2015
James Johnson, Agricultural Economist, Foreign Agricultural Service, Washington, DC
Presentation

USDA’s Perspective on Policy Changes in China
Stephen MacDonald, Senior Economist, Economic Research Service, Washington, DC
Presentation

Prospects for U.S. Cotton Production in a Shifting Price Environment
John R. C. Robinson, Professor and Extension Econmist, Texas A&M University, Department of Agricultural Economics
Presentation

Risks and Rewards of Sourcing Cotton for Today’s Retail Market
A. Mark Neuman, Global Trade Advisor, L Brands & MGF Sourcing
Presentation

 

SUGAR OUTLOOK Paper

Moderator: Paul Trupo, Branch chief, sugar & Dairy Imports, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington, DC

Government Support Policies and the World Sugar Market
Don Phillips, Trade Advisor, American Sugar Alliance, St. Leonard, MD

From Deficit to Surplus: Managing The Shift in the NAFTA Sugar Balance
John Cropley, Senior Analyst, ED&F Man, New Orleans, LA
Presentation

Implications of an Integrated U.S.-Mexican Sugar Sector
Steven, Zahniser, Agricultural Economist, Econmic Research Service, USDA, Washington, DC
Presentation

 

DAIRY OUTLOOK Paper

Moderator: Peter Vitaliano, Vice President, Economic Policy & Market Research, National Milk Producers Federation, Arlington, VA

Dairy Outlook
Uthra Raghunathan, Agricultural Economist, Agricultural Marketing Service, USDA, Washington, DC
Presentation

Development and Growth of the "GlobalDairyTrade" Platform
Margarita Sapozhnikov, Associate Principal, Charles River Associates, Auctions & Competitive Bidding Practice, Boston, MA
Presentation

Challenges and Opportunities for the Southwestern Dairy Producer
Dave Bellows, Director of Risk Management, AgriVision Farm Management, LLC, Hartley, TX
Presentation